Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.025008 0.030137 0.035519 0.041543 0.048058 0.054856 0.062451
2026-01-11 0.017497 0.024645 0.032689 0.042213 0.053005 0.064706 0.078215
2026-01-18 0.012612 0.020705 0.030418 0.042458 0.056591 0.072335 0.090915
2026-01-25 0.009324 0.017888 0.028814 0.042905 0.059920 0.079272 0.102481
2026-02-01 0.006719 0.015357 0.027107 0.042847 0.062341 0.084911 0.112346
2026-02-08 0.004115 0.012144 0.024039 0.040709 0.061953 0.087025 0.117932
2026-02-15 0.002604 0.010161 0.022327 0.040060 0.063191 0.090903 0.125430
2026-02-22 0.001756 0.009047 0.021686 0.040695 0.065933 0.096505 0.134889
2026-03-01 0.001141 0.008133 0.021205 0.041450 0.068754 0.102150 0.144358
2026-03-08 0.000779 0.007628 0.021289 0.042936 0.072480 0.108874 0.155092
2026-03-15 0.000436 0.006896 0.020893 0.043675 0.075188 0.114313 0.164264
2026-03-22 0.000411 0.007286 0.022439 0.047230 0.081610 0.124358 0.178988
2026-03-29 0.000076 0.005793 0.020561 0.045802 0.081541 0.126507 0.184421
2026-04-05 0.000006 0.005206 0.020255 0.046680 0.084555 0.132535 0.194602
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004501 0.019600 0.046964 0.086729 0.137482 0.203456
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003927 0.019104 0.047438 0.089126 0.142689 0.212609
2026-04-26 NaN 0.003281 0.018315 0.047377 0.090740 0.146868 0.220477
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002237 0.016270 0.045123 0.089187 0.146908 0.223167
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001677 0.015232 0.044439 0.089784 0.149675 0.229198
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001426 0.015004 0.045109 0.092300 0.154920 0.238306
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001223 0.014862 0.045905 0.094983 0.160378 0.247676
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001152 0.015156 0.047471 0.098784 0.167301 0.258880
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000981 0.015021 0.048250 0.101427 0.172700 0.268174